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Probability of exceeding threshold on 2022-04-06
factor(cases): 200pr: 1.000factor(cases): 500pr: 0.987factor(cases): 100pr: 1.000factor(cases): 50pr: 1.000 Pr Cases > 50: 100 % Pr Cases > 100: 100 % Pr Cases > 200: 100 % Pr Cases > 500: 99 %
Per 100,000 population and week. Week ending on (2022-04-06).
Probability of exceeding threshold on 2022-04-13
factor(cases): 200pr: 0.99600factor(cases): 500pr: 0.93975factor(cases): 100pr: 0.99975factor(cases): 50pr: 1.00000 Pr Cases > 50: 100 % Pr Cases > 100: 100 % Pr Cases > 200: 100 % Pr Cases > 500: 94 %
Per 100,000 population and week. Week ending on (2022-04-13).
Probability of exceeding threshold on 2022-04-20
factor(cases): 200pr: 0.96850factor(cases): 500pr: 0.85575factor(cases): 100pr: 0.99425factor(cases): 50pr: 0.99875 Pr Cases > 50: 100 % Pr Cases > 100: 99 % Pr Cases > 200: 97 % Pr Cases > 500: 86 %
Per 100,000 population and week. Week ending on (2022-04-20).
Reproduction Number
2020-072021-012021-072022-010123
Reproduction number30% CI60% CI90% CI
Time-Varying Reproduction Number Rt with uncertainty bands. Vertical line: last day of data included in the model (2022-03-30).
Weekly Cases per 100k
2020-072021-012021-072022-010200040006000
Weekly Cases per 100kObserved30% CI60% CI90% CI
Weekly reported cases per 100,000 population; Red bars: reported cases in a given week; Bands: Fitted/predicted value in the model; Vertical line: last day of data included in the model (2022-03-30).
Weekly Infections per 100k
2020-072021-012021-072022-010100002000030000
Weekly Infections per 100k30% CI60% CI90% CI
Bands: Weekly estimated infections per 100,000 population; Vertical line: last day of data included in the model (2022-03-30).
Weekly Deaths per 100k
2020-072021-012021-072022-010510152025
Weekly Deaths per 100kObserved30% CI60% CI90% CI
Weekly reported deaths per 100,000 population; Red bars: reported deaths in a given week;
Bands: Fitted/predicted value in the model; Vertical line: last day of data included in the model (2022-03-30).
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Model run performed at: Tue Apr 5 14:26:47 2022

Output version: 20220401-201030